Because of this, it will be worth targeting the best ball strikers and the players who excel in the Bogey Avoidance metric. Hes been comfortable navigating the redwoods of the PGA TOUR with six paydays in 10 starts, including a career-best T26 at the 2021 U.S. Open at Torrey Pines where he ranked second in Strokes Gained: Approach-the Green and co-led in par-3 scoring. Harry Higgs Staying in the lane of the free spirits, this 31-year-old has made an adjustment in his perspective that has yielded five paydays in his last six starts, two of which going for a top 25. Before locking in your 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done picks, you need to see what SportsLine DFS pro and PGA expert Mike McClure has to say. In nine of the last 10 years, the winner opened between 10-1 and 50-1. In his second start of 2022, he prevailed at the SMBC Singapore Open and finished second on the Asian Tours OOM (behind Joohyung (Tom). Will Gordonsits in a similar situation in T53 and is also an explosive golfer who has flashed round-of-the-day potential in less stacked fields before. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 23 of the world's top 25 golfers. Besides Jon Rahm, no one is hotter than McIlory right now. Kickoff is Saturday at 7 p.m. Talk to the hand (puppet): a superintendent shares his love for ventriloquy? Then in 2020, a year that also featured windy conditions, Tyrell Hatton won at 4-under. 18 Sungjae Im, No. New Customer Offer (if applicable). The 26-year-old from England took the title at the Soudal Open in Belgium on Sunday. Please Gamble Responsibly. https://t.co/uldLYRZvRh. They may lay off the water going forward which will make the afternoon much drier and crusty, resulting in scoring being a little more difficult for the afternoon wave. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter. Sleeper pick: Cameron Tringale, +11,000. More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. It propelled him into the bubble for a special exemption at Southern Hills. His ability to scramble and avoid bogeys will be a major key to how well he does. Rory McIlroy has the next best odds to win with a 9.52% implied probability. Lastly, course history plays more of a factor than in most weeks. WM Phoenix Open Betting Card & Other Predictions, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023: Winners Payout & Prize Money Earnings, Arnold Palmer Invitational First & Second Round Tee Times. At 7,466 yards, its a longer course by PGA Tour standards, but a variety of players have been able to win in the past. That said, +5,000 odds for a player six months removed from contending for a PGA three-peat? Arnold Palmer Invitational: Odds, expert picks. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. At just over 7,200 yards, the course is average by PGA Tour standards and doesnt favor the longer or shorter hitters. Hes fresh off a spirited run of performances on the Asian Tour, including his first victory on the circuit two weeks ago. You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIACwhen purchasing aPGA Premium Pass. 1 Jon Rahm, who has already won two of three designated events this year. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. Jon Rahm +700Rory McIlroy +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Max Homa +1900Collin Morikawa +2100Justin Thomas +2300Xander Schauffele +2400Will Zalatoris +2400Tony Finau +2800Patrick Cantlay +2800Jason Day +3100Viktor Hovland +3100Tyrrell Hatton +3600Matthew Fitzpatrick +3600Sungjae Im +4100Jordan Spieth +4100Cameron Young +4600Sam Burns +4800Tom Kim +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Hideki Matsuyama +5500Keith Mitchell +5500Chris Kirk +6500Shane Lowry +6500Corey Conners +7000Tommy Fleetwood +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Adam Scott +8500Billy Horschel +8500Rickie Fowler +8500Justin Rose +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Seamus Power +9000Gary Woodland +9000Min Woo Lee +11000Luke List +11000Taylor Montgomery +11000Tom Hoge +12000Wyndham Clark +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Aaron Wise +12000Alex Noren +12000Ryan Fox +13000Si Woo Kim +13000Lucas Herbert +14000Nick Taylor +14000Adrian Meronk +15000Thomas Detry +16000Russell Henley +16000Brian Harman +17000Beau Hossler +17000Sepp Straka +18000K.H. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. Spaun +19000Harris English +19000Byeong Hun An +20000Justin Suh +21000Patrick Rodgers +21000Taylor Pendrith +21000Joel Dahmen +21000Sam Ryder +21000Taylor Moore +22000Emiliano Grillo +22000Kurt Kitayama +22000Joseph Bramlett +23000Danny Willett +23000Ben Griffin +24000Garrick Higgo +24000Francesco Molinari +25000. At the Farmers Insurance Open, McClure's top One and Done pick, Max Homa, outlasted the . Play with friends. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. The 33-year-old has played well at this event, logging two runner-up finishes (2018 and 2021). Sign up today or log in to your account to get closer to the action on the course! The West Coast Swing on the PGA Tour will conclude this week, and it may have saved the best for last. He just closed out his second season of the last five as the runner-up on its Order of Merit. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! Give it to me! This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. On to the picks. Despite its spot on the schedule, the Charles Schwab Challenge is boasting a solid field just a few days after the conclusion of the 104th PGA Championship. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. I just cant imagine anyone having a better chance than Rory this week. Caddies dont matter a ton, except when they do. These are the golfers I am gravitating towards, as they could very easily bounce the following day at half the ownership. Few players have been steadier over the past two months, with no finishes outside of the top 30 in his past eight starts including a runner-up finish at Quail Hollow and a fifth at Innisbrook in his past two starts. One of these golfers "has been experiencing a massive resurgence," the expert says, and this course is right up his alley. Sleeper pick: Joel Dahmen, +35,000. Mark Hubbard (+350 for a Top 20) You can go down whatever rabbit hole you find and youre unlikely to surface video of a snail taming a bear, much less a story of an encounter. Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers: Our goal is to put out the highest-quality content and tools. 20 Shane Lowry - and eight in the top 50. The wind is going to get significantly stronger as the day goes on, with potential for two scenarios. McIlroy is coming off a disappointing T-32 finish at the WM Phoenix Open, but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. To-win: Patrick Reed, +3,500. Did you know RotoBaller has aPremium DFS PGA subscription? Try these Birdie Juice-flavored tee picks, Quench your thirst on or off the course with this spiked beverage, What it's like playing the new Fields Ranch East (a likely future Ryder Cup venue), Shriners Children's Open picks: 4 bets we love this week in Las Vegas, Sanderson Farms Championship picks: 4 bets we love this week in Mississippi, Sanderson Farms Championship odds: Presidents Cuppers among betting favorites this week, Need help computing (and paying!) Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. Expert Picks A Change Text Size Written by Staff @PGATOUR How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. He finished inside the top 10 at this event three of the last four years. Although hes still on the rise globally, hes no stranger to the brightest lights having made five starts in majors previously. With windy conditions over the weekend a year ago, Scottie Scheffler won the event at 5-under and only 10 players finished the tournament under par. To-win: Xander Schauffele, +1,700. Zach Johnson None of the 46-year-olds 12 PGA TOUR victories were in Florida, and hes done more damage on other sites in the state than PGA National, but he still deserves attention as a potential threat in matchup scenarios. Its also worth noting the Bermuda greens, as some players putt better on them than others. The small tweaks he made in his swing are paying dividends, and with the championship contested at the windblown Kiawah Resort, I like the shot-making Texans chances to hoist the Wanamaker Trophy come Sunday. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. He looked hobbled (and not at all himself) in his performance at the Masters, which is a smart reason to stay away from him. Power has had some very strong finishes this year, including a top 10 at the recent PGA Championship. That was the first event worldwide since last summer in which the No. Notice the amount of green AM tee times. Its been a quietly strong season for the veteran, who has added a much-improved short game to his power repertoire. For his part, defending FedEx Cup champion Rory McIlroy says that no-cut events are nothing new on the PGA Tour. At just 23 years young, hes taken more punches than hes given, but hes made some noise early in what is his second full season on the PGA TOUR. But McDonald knows "inefficiencies in the other aspects of his game" will be tough to overcome at Bay Hill. Thomas is 207th in proximity to the hole this season and ranks 115th in strokes gained putting. 15-time major champion Tiger Woods will also be in the field and making his Joe Nicely - Max Homa 3. Garrick Higgo (+220 for a Top 20) The Honda Classic celebrated its 50th anniversary last year but without a lefty among its list of champions; well, unless you approve Blaine McCallister's putting stroke that set what was then the tournament record of 22-under 266 at TPC Eagle Trace in 1989. Aaron Baddeley intrigues me as his short game is really impressive and a few long puts or chip-ins can grab him a bunch of points. Rewards issued as non-withdrawable bonus bets. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential Genesis Invitational Longshot Picks. However, it should provide you with a guide to who will be the most owned and how those around them shake out. Justin Thomas, who took home the Wanamaker last Sunday, is teeing it up at Colonial Country Club and is the betting favorite at +1000. He popped for a solo third in Mississippi in the fall and has added a pair of top 20s in the last four weeks. It's a smaller PGA Tour field this week, but it's a much larger purse and the field is stacked with stars for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Now, McClure has dialed in on the 2023 Honda Classic golf tournament, and just locked in his one and done picks and PGA predictions. Arnold Palmer Invitational Field. The tournament was already the most electric on the PGA Tour, and that bar will be raised even higher this week with more fans in attendance and it being a designated event. The app, which is owned by GOLF.coms parent company, 8AM Golf, is designed to inject the adrenaline of live gambling into a fun, risk-free contest. your golf bets? Ill stop typing for a second to hear the sound of a million mice clicking away. Bradley has enjoyed plenty of past success at this event, including finishing inside the top 11 each of the past two years. Sleeper pick: Shane Lowry, +10,000. ). For more on Chirp, click here. Not only is the Genesis Invitational played at Riviera Country Club, one of the most elite courses in the country, but its a, , so all the top players on the PGA Tour are in the field, including tournament host, The event will have a major championship-like feel because of the. Scott has had a ton of success at Riviera. Those include Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and Bay Hill. Youre telling me I can get K.H. Making the cut in his debut in the U.S. is the proper bet for Kaewkanjana (where you can find it), but with nothing to lose and everything to gain, he could be compelling early and certainly someone on whom to keep an eye moving forward. I was. In nine starts this season, he has two top-25 finishes, with his best being a T-11 at The American Express. an app from our parent company that is available in the App Store and at Google Play, 7 things you MUST know to make money on golf betting, Four experts on how to bet on PGA Tour golf like a professional gambler. By Pat Mayo Jan 23, 2022, 5:58pm PST Share 2021: Patrick Reed -14 2020: Marc Leishman -15 2019: Justin Rose -21 Low-Priced FanDuel DFS Players 5. He also has published a golf book, The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.. We're back at The King's place for the second leg of the Florida swing. PGA Tour golfers aren't the only ones who can make some starting next Thursday. The 2019 Open Champion has proven he can compete in windy conditions. This new app will help, Fortinet Championship odds: Two stars lead favorites at PGA Tour season opener, Tour Championship odds: Scottie Scheffler favored to win fifth title of the season, BMW Championship odds: Rory McIlroy still the betting favorite despite missed cut, FedEx St. Jude Championship odds: Rory McIlroy leads betting favorites for playoff opener. The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. Ill take the great putter who doesnt have an ounce of quit. Lines: View all 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational lines. For a player of his caliber, +8000 is tremendous value. The Phoenix region will be the center of the sports world this week, with the Super Bowl at State Farm Stadium and the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. It starts this week. So, yeah, that counts, but Higgo stays entirely on that side of the ball. Please Gamble Responsibly. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. And when I looked at the 2012 leaderboard and saw three Englishmen in the top six (and Rory McIlroy from Northern Ireland winning), this pick began to look really good to me. A T21 at home followed two weeks later. Finau is also playing outstanding golf of late. He won a major last year, but his game has shown a lot of cracks. Shane Lowryis the first Irishman we look to roster heavily as he has a fantastic around-the-green game and is comfortable in the wind. Kevin Erickson March 4, 2023 8:42 am ET In a lightweight bout on the main card, Mateusz Gamrot takes on Jalin Turner Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Sam Horsfield(+200 for a Top 40) When youre talented, youre talented. And in the prognostication business, youre only as good as your next pick. In Ontario, if you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you, please contact ConnexOntario at 1-866-531-2600 to speak to an advisor, free of charge. Sports betting is void in Georgia, Hawaii, and Utah and other states where prohibited. Bonus bets expire 7 days from issuance. Rai presents a similar profile in his return trip after a. Jon Rahm (+750) has the best odds to win. It is a designated event, which means a star-studded field, including world No. The Genesis Invitational is Feb. 16-19 at Riviera Country Club. Players who play well at this event typically replicate it year after year. If the wind stays home, there are worse bets than Woodland, whos see-sawed a bit of late, but has two top-10s in the past two months. Last year this week, Sepp Straka was a Sleeper at +400 for a Top 20. You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. ET (ESPN3). He will be someone we lean on most as he will provide a lot of leverage sitting in T53 right now. Weve come a long way with Rickie that hes now considered a long shot. Taking sleeper picks is always a bit risky, but Dahmen should be coming into this week with confidence he can win. Jon Rahmhad a bit of a meltdown today on his second nine, but we can expect the Spaniard to return to the form he has displayed so consistently throughout the season. Dahmen captured his first PGA Tour win at the 2021 Corales Puntacana Resort and Club Championship in March, and he finished T10 in last years PGA Championship. Since Flag Hunting formed at the start of the 2021-22 season, I've cashed a total of 14 outright tickets in 58 events (a nearly 25% hit rate) and profited nearly $12,000 from betting just $350 . The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Sleeper pick: Marc Leishman, +7,000. The Ocean Course is long, difficult and a windy place to play golf, but its a course that fits Leishman well. On the other hand, Rahm hasn't shown many flaws on his stunning run of 10 straight top-10 finishes. Its time for the Class of 2011 to bag another one. His stats from this season wont jump off the page, but hes played well lately (T28 or better in his past four, including a win) and should have a good chance this week. Jason Day is playing much better golf lately and now that he has made the cut maybe he can play a little more freely and start rolling in the putts we have seen him make over the last few weeks. You can too! Jon Rahm sits at the top of the leaderboard once >record scratch< . he actually played really badly today for the first time in what feels like eternity and those of us who played Rory instead of Rahm (30% of us - woof) finally reaped the rewardskinda. He's not only playing better golf than he had at earlier points in his life, but he's also shown an ability to turn leaderboard contention into wins at a high rate. One of the top baseball and hockey analysts in the DFS industry, John Britt is a family man hailing from St. Louis, Missouri. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. Top 2023 Honda Classic One and Done picks. If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod Ive been telling yall it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Ads help us pay RotobBaller's award-winning writers as much as possible they are vital to the site's operations and team. Where: Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, Orlando, Florida. I dont think hes a sleeper, but the odds say he is. Jon Rahm is predicted to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational with a 13.33% implied probability i.e., the overall chance of a potential outcome in relation to the odds according to betting markets. Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Lee, +22,500. Something else to mention is the rules committee and course superintendents seem to have drenched the course in anticipation of the winds we expected today. So at plus money to finish in the top 20, it seems like a no-brainer. Hes also 6-for-8 on the PGA TOUR, including a 3-for-4 in the majors. Spencer absolutely crushed it in 2022! Hovland has the pedigree to win at least a couple of majors during his career. He also has eight straight top-10 finishes in events worldwide. He has the best odds to win at +650. Not only is he fresh off a victory at Quail Hollow, hes a former champion at this very venue, and the ultra-long course seems like it will suit him even better (if thats even possible) this time around. This was a tough card to put together. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win. Whether youre betting on designated tournaments, match play events, or majors, theres something for everyone. A little hard to believe, but a golfer who is in the top five in the world rankings has yet to play in an Open Championship. Sleeper pick: Jason Kokrak, +13,000. ET at Cashman Field (FX). Its Horsfields third DP WORLD Tour victory but first of the last 21 months after he picked off a pair on what was the UK Swing immediately after the circuits shutdown in response to the pandemic. Rory McIlroy Top 5 Finish + 210 At PointsBet. Hes 3-for-3 in 2023 and slots inside the top 25 in both fairways hit and Strokes Gained: Putting, so hes not yet wholly distracted by his duties as the Ryder Cup captain. I still have faith the 20 Masters was the start of it, and it will pick up at the 21 PGA Championship. My top 10 was: Xander Schauffele, Cantlay, McIlroy, Tony Finau, Shane Lowry, Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Im, Max Homa and Scottie Scheffler. , but that doesnt mean he isnt playing exceptional golf of late. And with live golf betting, the action doesnt stop at the book when the action starts on the course. The new father secured his first win since November of 2019 at the Wells Fargo Championship last weekend, and he won the PGA Championship by eight (!) Top 3 High Value Sleepers and Sleeper Picks and Predictions for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA Golf Tournament Running from March 2 to 5 2023. Im betting that bombing it will matter less than plain old grit. New Customer Offer (if applicable). Jordan Spieth is back to doing Jordan Spieth things, and it feels like this is finally his time to complete the career grand slam. About; Careers . He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. Ancer will get his first PGA Tour win in 2021 why not at a major? He also leads in par-5 scoring, par breakers and scrambling. After most of the top players did not play in last weeks. End of the Season Totals: @rotoballer @BettorGolfPod 2017 +54.26 Units2018 +55.88 Units2019 +27.743 Units2020 + 37.015 Units2021 + 68.846 Units2022 +67.485 UnitsTotal Winnings: +311.229 UnitsTotal Outright Wins Since 2017: 36 H2H Totals Inside Thread https://t.co/pNQrSK1rFE.